You could be forgiven for thinking that the 2020 election has gotten started way too soon. Presidential aspirants are announcing their candidacies abnormally early in the cycle, and election handicappers like our friends at Sabato’s Crystal Ball, Inside Elections and the Cook Political Report have already offered their first race ratings for the Electoral College. …
And these experts have great track records. But they would also be the first to tell you that the ratings aren’t yet precise enough to tell you who is going to win. So here’s a FiveThirtyEight guide to digesting race ratings with an appropriately sized grain of salt. CONT.
Nathaniel Rakich, FiveThirtyEight