The Senate map for Democrats this fall is daunting.
Republicans are only defending nine Senate seats up for reelection, while Democrats are defending 26 seats. Moreover, 10 of the Democratic-held seats are in states Donald Trump won in 2016 and five are in states he won by about 20 points or more.
Yet, a look at the early polling data suggests that the map may be somewhat misleading. No, Democrats are not favored to take back the Senate. But they are significantly outperforming the 2016 presidential lean in the 2018 Senate races significantly. That gives them a non-nominal chance at winning control. CONT.
Harry Enten, CNN