It’s still true that Democrats are far more likely than not to capture a majority in the House of Representatives for the first time since 2010, but their margin for error may be less than it was six months or even one month ago.
The micro-political, race-by-race picture has improved little if at all for the GOP; indeed in some respects the individual race situation was worse last fall than was fully appreciated at the time. But it is the macro-political, top-down situation that looks less rosy for Democrats than in past months. CONT.
Charlie Cook