The 2018 elections formally begin with the Texas primary on Tuesday, and early voting tallies are already being interpreted as yet another sign of Democratic strength heading into the midterms. …
In terms of this year’s midterm elections, there are two ways to look at the primaries: at the national level; and by state and district. Over all, the national primary vote is a rough if imperfect indicator of the national political environment. The primary vote by state and district is an equally rough, though potentially more analytically useful, measure of partisanship. CONT.
Nate Cohn, New York Times