… Betting markets give roughly even odds that key provisions of Obamacare, such as its employer mandate, will be repealed before the end of the year. I don’t know what probability I’d assign to the bill’s passage myself. But I do think it’s worth pausing to take an inventory of some of the differences between the House’s situation and the one the Senate now faces. There are quite a few of these — some of which make the bill more likely to pass and others less so: CONT.
Nate Silver, FiveThirtyEight