If you followed the presidential polls at all closely, chances are that you expected Hillary Clinton to win last week. So did all of the major prediction models that use polls to game out election outcome probabilities. …
Pollsters will be digging for months (at least) to figure out how exactly their results may have been off. The American Association for Public Opinion Research is convening a committee to study this year’s polling, but answers will be a long time coming, as the committee won’t wrap up until May 2017. Until then, here are a few ways to think about what was wrong — and right — with the polling in the 2016 election. CONT.
Danielle Kurtzleben, NPR