The Trump Surge … Or is it a Clinton Fallback?

And then, everything changed.

Well, not everything, but enough to generate the first major revision in our electoral map, and all of it is in Donald Trump’s direction for now.

Let us make our view perfectly clear: We still believe that Hillary Clinton is more likely than Trump to win the election, and she still has the advantage in the Electoral College. Yet it is equally apparent that she has stumbled badly in recent weeks, fueling Trump’s polling advance. And the Republican nominee has more pathways to 270 electoral votes than he did before. CONT.

Larry J. Sabato, Kyle Kondik & Geoffrey Skelley, Sabato’s Crystal Ball

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