Hillary Clinton’s Lead Has Shrunk: How to Assess the Polls

The presidential race has become a lot less clear over the last few weeks.

Back in mid-August, Hillary Clinton held a large lead over Donald J. Trump.

Since then, her lead has slipped — but how far isn’t so obvious. The various forecasting models and polling averages have split about as much as they have all year.

What’s going on? CONT.

Nate Cohn, New York Times

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