For months, Republican rivals to Donald Trump were proclaiming that nominating him would be an electoral disaster, given the assumption he could not win a general election. Pundits have been saying the same thing, noting that Trump’s historically high unfavorable ratings, especially among women and Hispanics, would doom his general election candidacy. But recent polls show that these assessments may need dramatic revision. …
So what is going on? Simply put, the 2016 campaign illustrates the risk of paying too much attention to very early polls in an election year as volatile as this one. CONT.
Euel Elliott (U. of Texas at Dallas), Fortune