State of election markets

With the Republican field down to just legitimate five candidates (and Ben Carson), Donald Trump continues to hold the top slot. The Democratic side saw very little movement over the last week, despite a dominant win by Bernie Sanders in New Hampshire. …

Trump is heavily favored to carry South Carolina on Saturday, February 20 and likely in the Nevada Caucus on Tuesday, February 23. …

If Hillary Clinton can win Nevada (55% likely) she will make short work of Sanders. CONT.

David Rothschild, PredictWise

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