… The conventional wisdom has been that a Trump nomination would be a disaster for the Republican Party, to the extent that some Democrats are almost cackling with glee at the thought. …
But is it so certain that, if nominated, Trump would lose? Nobody thought he’d do this well in the primaries, and head-to-head polls show him competitive with Hillary Clinton. So I called up six pollsters and asked them to really consider the seemingly ridiculous: If Trump won the nomination, could he actually win the presidency? CONT.
Andrew Prokop, Vox