… What is happening now in the Republican primary is not that different from what happened in 2012. And despite the excitement and attention that Mr. Trump is generating, others who were in his same position four years ago fell out of the spotlight after several weeks of being the star of the show and never recovered. …
Mr. Trump has been dominating the polls for a little more than a month. He may dominate them for many more months if no other candidates make enough news to displace him from the spotlight, and no scandals deflate his bubble. But this doesn’t mean that Republican primary voters are going to stick with him all the way to the voting booth. CONT.
Lynn Vavreck (UCLA), New York Times