Do early campaign polls tell us anything? Let’s ask a campaign data guru.

After my cranky tweets earlier this week criticizing the news media for focusing too much on early campaign polls, I saw this sharp rejoinder:


Ouch! To make things worse, David Shor is a senior data scientist at Civis Analytics — a leading purveyor of campaign data and models — so he knows a few things about polling. I decided to reach out. Below is a condensed and edited version of our correspondence. CONT.

John Sides, The Monkey Cage

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