How much attention should you pay to 2016 polling? Keep an eye on the frontrunner.

We are all sick and tired of 2016 already, of course, but we are going to have to deal with it, for the next two years, with the possible exception of major holidays. Part of this conversation will be the ceaseless trickle trickle trickle of new polls about 2016, which, given that you could have two back-to-back pregnancies before it arrives (with a half-year break in-between) seems extremely dumb. …

But here’s the thing. Polling shortly after the midterms actually isn’t that bad — at least when it comes to picking the person who will get the most votes. CONT.

Philip Bump, Washington Post

See also: Presidential election polls

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