Does Forecasting an Election Change the Outcome?

There’s been a lot of digital ink spilled recently over the rise of election forecasting models. … I won’t get into the debate over whose model is better, or whether forecasts are bad or good for political science. Rather, I wanted to address an interesting question raised by Brian Rosenwald, a graduate student at the University of Virginia: Could these forecasts influence the election? CONT.

Seth Masket (U. of Denver), Pacific Standard

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