If you’re looking for a major difference between the last midterm election in 2010 and the one coming up in 2014, we’ve got one for you: gubernatorial incumbency — the lack of it in ’10 and the abundance of it in ’14. …
Why does this matter? Because since 1960, about four of every five incumbent governors who made a general election ballot have in fact been reelected. [cont.]
Larry J. Sabato, Kyle Kondik & Geoffrey Skelley, Sabato’s Crystal Ball