Good economic times are good for incumbents. After all, voters are more apt to look for change in tough times than they are in good ones.
Significant economic anxiety contributed to the “wave” elections of 2008 and 2010. In 2012, the economy improved just enough to help President Obama win re-election.
This year, Americans’ confidence in the economy is as strong as it’s been in years. If that continues, it would probably mean a status quo cycle; which is the best that Democrats could hope for. [cont.]
Amy Walter, Cook Political Report