As part of its biennial Monopoly Politics series on the overriding dominance of partisanship in controlling the outcomes of American congressional elections, FairVote today released its initial projections for its Monopoly Politics 2014 report. …
Underscoring the remarkable degree of partisan bias existent in our congressional election system, FairVote projects 48 more Republican winners than Democratic winners. This bias toward Republicans will likely hold true even in a relatively tilted year like the Democrats’ wave year in 2008 or the Republican wave in 2010, in which the national party preference was about 54% to 46% for one party. Democrats would need to win nearly every single race for which FairVote is not making a projection in order to retake the House, which we project would require a nationwide preference for Democrats of about 56% to 44%. [cont.]
FairVote