Pre-Election Polls Got it Wrong in Florida

Identified as a “Latino Influence” state due to having a large and growing Latino electorate with an otherwise competitive electorate, Florida’s prized electoral voters hinged largely on how Latinos would vote in 2012.

In the weeks immediately before the 2012 election, there was a great deal of speculation about whether the Latino vote would break for Obama. This speculation was fueled by polls suggesting that Obama’s share of the Latino vote was declining in Florida, and even in some cases, that Romney would get a greater number of Latino voters than Obama on Election Day. [cont.]

Casey Klofstad, U. of Miami (Latino Decisions)

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