The polling organization Gallup created a stir earlier this month when it announced that, going forward, it would refine its polling methodology, emphasizing the preferences of voters considered most likely to vote. The immediate consequence of the shift—the obliteration of a five-point advantage for Obama—has raised the hackles of pundits and the public at large. …
Arguments about election polls are nothing new, of course. In fact, this is not the first time Gallup has created a tumult: on the eve of the 1960 election, a similar controversy erupted. [cont.]
Erin Overbey, The New Yorker