The polls are changing. As we enter the home stretch, public pollsters are transitioning their samples from registered voters to so-called “likely voters.” The general impression this conveys is that polls are suddenly becoming more accurate.
Readers should be skeptical. The science behind the selection of “likely” voters is soft. And with dueling polls using different methodologies to identify the most likely voters, it’s becoming evident that caution is advised. [cont.]
David Hill