Placing Priority: How Issues Mattered More than Demographics in the 2016 Election

Key Findings Viewing the electorate through the lens of issue priorities rather than through demographic variables yields valuable insights. Our analysis suggests that the mix of issue priorities revealed more about voter decision-making than demography. … The key issues driving the election, based on what voters found most important, were […] Read more »

An 11th-Hour Raid by the Wealthiest Baby Boomers

The baby boom is being evicted from the penthouse of American politics. And on the way out, it has decided to trash the place. That’s probably the best way to understand the generational implications of the tax legislation Republicans are driving through Congress. The House and Senate measures shower enormous […] Read more »

The Big Blue Losers in the GOP Tax Plans

It’s difficult to say whether the tax legislation Republicans are driving through Congress qualifies as a revenue bill—or an enemies list. It isn’t unusual for tax legislation to reward a political party’s supporters, and the GOP bill emphatically upholds that tradition by funneling its tax savings primarily toward business and […] Read more »

Change versus more of the same: On-going panel of target voting groups provides path for Democrats in 2018

There are big forces at work in the coming year that could produce an earthquake of an off-year election, including a parade of indictments, the GOP civil war playing out in Republican primaries, a congressional impasse on everything, a wrong track number nearing 75 percent and a presidential job approval […] Read more »

Trump’s Immigration Agenda Makes a Fundamental Miscalculation

Like many of President Trump’s policies, the White House’s recent embrace of a plan to cut legal immigration in half rests on a fundamental misunderstanding of the economic relationship between “the brown and the gray.” That’s the phrase I’ve applied to America’s increasingly diverse younger generations and its predominantly white […] Read more »

Few Americans support cuts to most government programs, including Medicaid

President Donald Trump’s first budget request to Congress would make deep cuts to government programs, including Medicaid, the health insurance program for low-income adults and children. Recent polls have found little public support for cuts to Medicaid, but that may not be a surprise: Americans tend not to favor budget […] Read more »

With Budget Debate Looming, Growing Share of Public Prefers Bigger Government

As Congress faces an April 28 deadline to fund government operations, the public is now split in their general preferences on the size and scope of government: 48% say they would rather have a bigger government providing more services, while 45% prefer a smaller government providing fewer services. This marks […] Read more »

​​​​​​The American Identity: Points of Pride, Conflicting Views, and a Distinct Culture

In the wake of President Donald Trump’s executive order last month on immigration and refugees, Americans are supportive of the country’s diversity and generally favorable toward immigration. However, according to a recent poll conducted by The Associated Press-NORC Center for​ Public Affairs Research, Americans are less favorable toward refugees and […] Read more »