Suburban G.O.P. Voters Sour on Party, Raising Republican Fears for 2018

A gray mood has settled over conservative-leaning voters in some of the country’s most reliably Republican congressional districts, as the party’s stumbles in Washington demoralize them and leave lawmakers scrambling to energize would-be supporters in a series of off-year elections. While the next nationwide elections are not until 2018, Republicans […] Read more »

A Midwest Advantage for Scott Walker?

You can call it the Rust Belt or the Industrial Midwest if you like, but when presidential election time comes you should call it precious real estate. The seven states that hold the schools that comprised the old, pre-expansion Big Ten athletic conference – Illinois, Indiana, Iowa, Michigan, Minnesota, Ohio […] Read more »

Right vs. Left in the Midwest

Minnesota and Wisconsin share much more than bone-chilling winters: German and Northern European roots; farming; and, until recently, a populist progressive tradition stretching back a century to Wisconsin’s Fighting Bob La Follette and the birth of Minnesota’s Democratic-Farmer-Labor Party. But in 2010 these cousin states diverged. By doing so they […] Read more »

Bachmann’s Retirement Reduces Electoral Risk for G.O.P.

Some Democrats are giddy that the Tea Party provocateur and four-term incumbent Michele Bachmann has announced her intention to retire from Congress — but her decision may allow Republicans to avoid a toss-up race in what would otherwise be a reasonably safe district for the G.O.P. [cont.] Nate Silver, FiveThirtyEight […] Read more »