… Some scholars say hotly contested primaries encourage voters to support the final candidate in a general election; others say that bitter partisans may support alternative candidates. To explore this question, we looked at vote choice in the 2008 presidential election, which, as is true in 2016, had no incumbent […] Read more »
Warren Is Top V.P. Pick for Clinton Supporters, Gingrich for Trump
More than a third of likely voters backing Democrat Hillary Clinton in the latest Bloomberg Politics national poll say she should pick Senator Elizabeth Warren of Massachusetts, a darling of the party’s liberal wing, as her running mate. On the Republican side, almost a third of likely voters supporting Donald […] Read more »
Despite Bernie Sanders’ Crowds, Hillary Clinton Ahead In Oregon
A new poll shows Hillary Clinton and Donald Trump headed toward primary victories next week in Oregon — and suggests Clinton holds a strong lead over Trump as both pivot toward the November general election. DHM Research surveyed 901 likely Oregon voters between May 6 and May 9 for OPB […] Read more »
Global Warming and the 2016 U.S. Presidential Election
… Fewer than half of any candidate’s supporters are aware that virtually all climate scientists have concluded human-caused global warming is happening. However, supporters of the Democratic candidates are the most likely to think at least 90% of climate scientists are convinced (Sanders: 38%, Clinton: 27%). Far fewer supporters of […] Read more »
Exit Poll: Trump Shows Cruz the Door; Sanders Shows Clinton a Fight
Donald Trump relied on the underpinning of his presidential campaign – his strong appeal as a political outsider – to show Ted Cruz the door in their long battle, while Bernie Sanders showed Hillary Clinton that he’s still game for a fight. CONT. Gary Langer & Gregory Holyk, ABC News Read more »
A Guide To The Three Possible Outcomes In Indiana’s GOP Primary
Donald Trump may be a runaway train. He has blasted through his 50 percent “ceiling,” outperforming his polls and winning a clear majority in the last six states to cast ballots. All that success occurred in the Northeast, however, so here’s the question: Is Trump wrapping up this nomination, or […] Read more »