The demographic makeup of the country’s voters continues to shift. That creates headwinds for Republicans

Demographic change continued to chip away at the cornerstone of the Republican electoral coalition in 2022, a new analysis of Census data has found. White voters without a four-year college degree, the indispensable core of the modern GOP coalition, declined in 2022 as a share of both actual and eligible […] Read more »

Red States Need Blue Cities

In red and blue states, Democrats are consolidating their hold on the most economically productive places. Metropolitan areas won by President Joe Biden in 2020 generated more of the total economic output than metros won by Donald Trump in 35 of the 50 states, according to new research by Brookings […] Read more »

The Tennessee expulsions reveal the core divide in US politics. Here’s why.

Rarely have the tectonic plates of American politics collided as visibly and explosively as they did earlier this month in Tennessee. The procession of predominantly middle-aged or older White Republicans who rose almost two weeks ago in the Tennessee House of Representatives to castigate, and then expel, two young Black […] Read more »

Trump’s hidden advantage in the GOP primary

Even amid all his legal challenges, Donald Trump has a secret weapon in his drive to win the Republican presidential nomination next year: polling strongly suggests he has transformed the GOP primary electorate in a way that will make him harder to beat. Since Trump’s emergence as the GOP’s dominant […] Read more »