Explaining Trump Some More

It’s over a year now, but academics, journalists, and political junkies still cannot get their fill–nor can I–of addressing the question, Why Trump? … Studies have accumulated showing that the distinctiveness of Trump’s core supporters in the primaries and among new or swing voters in the general election lies less […] Read more »

‘Fake News’: Wide Reach but Little Impact, Study Suggests

Fake news evolved from seedy internet sideshow to serious electoral threat so quickly that behavioral scientists had little time to answer basic questions about it, like who was reading what, how much real news they also consumed and whether targeted fact-checking efforts ever hit a target. … But now the […] Read more »

The 7 most important polling trends of 2017

2017 is almost in the books — and so are another 12 months of public opinion polling. The calendar year that President Donald Trump spent settling into the White House has been marked by consistently low ratings from a majority of the American public. But this year also has seen […] Read more »

The year in polls

President Obama left office a popular figure — 62 percent of Americans approved of the way he handled his job over the past eight years, ranking him third among outgoing presidents since CBS began asking the question in 1981 – behind outgoing presidents Bill Clinton (68 percent) and Ronald Reagan […] Read more »

Most Americans doubt Trump on Russia probe, while Mueller approval tilts positive

More Americans say they approve of how special counsel Robert Mueller is handling the investigation into Russian interference in the 2016 election than say they disapprove, a new CNN poll conducted by SSRS has found, while most Americans say President Donald Trump’s public statements on the probe have not been […] Read more »

19 Things We Learned from the 2016 Election

We can all agree that the presidential election result was a shocker. According to news reports, even the Trump campaign team was stunned to come up a winner. So now seems like a good time to go over various theories floating around in political science and political reporting and see […] Read more »

After a year of slowly unfolding Russia news, America’s views on the issue have barely changed

President Trump’s strategy for rebuffing allegations that his campaign colluded with the Russian government last year is two-fold: Undermine the investigations, even as he claims — as he has done unwaveringly from Day One — that there is no collusion to be found. Polling, including a new poll from AP-NORC, […] Read more »

Party Hoppers: Understanding Voters Who Switched Partisan Affiliation

Partisan affiliation is one of the most stable features of the modern American electorate. While individuals’ feelings toward politicians or their attitudes about policy can change quickly, partisanship is a deep-seated identity resistant to change. Within the last five years, however, we have observed a significant amount of partisan switching […] Read more »

Placing Priority: How Issues Mattered More than Demographics in the 2016 Election

Key Findings Viewing the electorate through the lens of issue priorities rather than through demographic variables yields valuable insights. Our analysis suggests that the mix of issue priorities revealed more about voter decision-making than demography. … The key issues driving the election, based on what voters found most important, were […] Read more »