The Ross Perot Myth

George H.W. Bush only lost his re-election bid in 1992 because a peculiar independent candidate from Texas, Ross Perot, drew more voters away from Bush than from Democratic candidate Bill Clinton. It’s one of the most enduring myths in U.S. presidential election history. CONT. FiveThirtyEight See also: Vengeful billionaire sinks President’s […] Read more »

Americans Really Dislike Trump, Clinton. So Why Aren’t Third Parties Doing Better?

So many things about this election are unprecedented — and one of the most obvious is how much voters dislike the candidates. By now, everyone knows that this year features the two most unpopular presumptive major-party candidates on record. But in some ways, Americans’ dislike of the presidential candidates isn’t […] Read more »

Bill Clinton, O.J. Simpson, Clarence Thomas, and the Politics of 1990s Racial Backlash

The 1990s are being relitigated, and for the most part, coming off rather badly. It has taken place in the realm of politics, where Hillary Clinton has had to edge away from some of her husband’s policies, some of which have provoked angry confrontations on the campaign trail between the […] Read more »

2016 Hillary vs. 1992 Bill: How does their polling compare?

As Bill Clinton navigated his way around table corners and selfie-snapping voters at a café in New Mexico this week, he ran into a reporter who asked a question being pondered by pundits: How can Hillary Clinton boost her general election poll numbers against Donald Trump — who already appears […] Read more »

Is the U.S. Ready for Post-Middle-Class Politics?

On April 12 last year, Hillary Clinton formally announced her run for the presidency by posting a two-­minute video on YouTube. For the first minute and a half, Clinton was nowhere to be seen. … When the candidate materialized, she instead said this: “Everyday Americans need a champion — and […] Read more »

Sanders’s Practically Unprecedented Success

By steadily increasing his support in national polls to the point where it now essentially equals Hillary Clinton’s, Bernie Sanders has crossed a threshold that few other challengers to a heavily favored front-runner have ever reached. But those gains still leave him facing a steep uphill climb to overcome her […] Read more »

Tales and takeaways from 28 years of covering the Wisconsin Primary

Welcome to the most important Wisconsin presidential primary since Kennedy beat Humphrey — and maybe the wildest ever. I’ve only covered the last eight. This is one is in a league of its own, but there are threads that connect it to the past. CONT. Craig Gilbert, Journal Sentinel Read more »

Can Hillary Clinton Convince Voters They’re Not Settling?

… Clinton wants to present herself as a doer who can produce incremental progress, while her opponent offers unachievable dreams. The problem is that, as in the 2008 race, this positions her as the dour chaperone at the party, offering half-measures while glumly raining on the transcendent change her opponent […] Read more »