Political observers often expect major political events to have ramifications for public opinion. The recent release and aftermath of the Mueller Report introduced yet another one of these scenarios. Damaging findings against Donald Trump appeared destined to harm the president’s image. To many, this expectation materialized: in at least a few polls since the report’s release, Trump’s approval declined, with a result from a Morning Consult/Politico poll attracting particular attention. …
However, polling movement such as this may not always be as it seems. Fluctuations in the partisan composition of a poll’s sample can often create a mirage of public opinion change. This could be due to a few reasons. CONT.
Alexander Agadjanian