Partisans split on seriousness of climate change

A clear but declining majority of Americans say climate change is a serious problem facing the United States in a new Washington Post-ABC News poll, with giant partisan disagreement on all aspects of the issue. CONT.

Scott Clement, Washington Post

Two-Thirds of Americans Want U.S. to Join Climate Change Pact

A solid majority of Americans say the United States should join an international treaty to limit the impact of global warming, but on this and other climate-related questions, opinion divides sharply along partisan lines, according to the latest New York Times/CBS News poll. CONT.

Giovanni Russonello, New York Times

Do Americans Understand That Global Warming Is Harmful to Human Health? Evidence From a National Survey

Global warming has significant negative consequences for human health, with some groups at greater risk than others. The extent to which the public is aware of these risks is unclear; the limited extant research has yielded discrepant findings.

This paper describes Americans’ awareness of the health effects of global warming, levels of support for government funding and action on the issue, and trust in information sources. We also investigate the discrepancy in previous research findings between assessments based on open- versus closed-ended questions. CONT.

Edward W. Maibach, Anthony A. Leiserowitz, et al, Annals of Global Health

Will The New Hampshire Union Leader’s Endorsement Help Chris Christie?

Chris Christie’s campaign has been showing signs of life in New Hampshire of late. He could already point to his rising net favorability rating among Granite State Republicans, and over the weekend he added the New Hampshire Union Leader’s endorsement. The backing of the state’s biggest paper has historically been a leading indicator of how New Hampshire Republicans are likely to vote. Whether that will prove true for Christie is an open question. CONT.

Harry Enten, FiveThirtyEight

Behind Ted Cruz’s Rise in the Polls: Lopsided Support

Polls say Ted Cruz is gaining in Iowa, where two new ones show him reaching second place with around 20 percent of the vote.

But the same polls suggest he has a big challenge: He has very little support outside of a growing base of self-described “very conservative” voters.

“Very conservative” voters can propel Mr. Cruz to victory in Iowa, a caucus state, but according to exit poll data from 2008 and 2012, those types of voters represent a smaller share of the electorate in every primary state. CONT.

Nate Cohn, New York Times

Republicans May Face Three-Way Fight for Nomination

In a measure of the crosswinds buffeting the party, more Republican leaders are bracing for a uniquely fragmented nominating contest that divides the GOP among three viable candidates well into 2016. CONT.

Ronald Brownstein, National Journal

Two in Three Call Climate Change Serious; Many Still See Scientific Disagreement

Nearly two-thirds of Americans call climate change a serious problem facing the United States, with more than half calling it very serious. But those numbers have slipped in the past year and a half, marking lingering doubts about the issue’s severity among a minority of adults. CONT.

Margaret Tyson & Gary Langer, ABC News

Cost Still Delays Healthcare for About One in Three in U.S.

Slightly fewer than one in three Americans (31%) say that they or a family member have put off any sort of medical treatment in the past year because of the cost. CONT.

Andrew Dugan, Gallup

Nearly Half of Syrians Would Leave Syria if They Could

More than 4 million Syrians have fled their country since the onset of the conflict there in 2011, and millions more have been displaced inside their own borders. As the conflict entered its fifth year in January 2015, about half of Syrians (46%) surveyed said they would leave their country given the opportunity. CONT.

Nader Nekvasil & Mohamed Younis, Gallup

Where’s the partisan polarization on abortion?

The recent murders at a Colorado Springs Planned Parenthood center, and the political arguments that have followed, remind us once again of the connection between political polarization and terrorism.

We are used to the idea that Democrats support legal abortion while Republicans oppose it, but this has not always been the case. CONT.

Andrew Gelman (Columbia), The Monkey Cage