This may be the last presidential election dominated by Boomers and prior generations

For the past few decades, presidential elections have been dominated by voters of the Baby Boom and previous generations, who are estimated to have cast a majority of the votes. But their election reign may end this November, according to a new Pew Research Center analysis of census data. CONT.

Richard Fry, Pew


Can Trump Afford to Betray Anti-Immigrant Voters?

Donald Trump’s contradictory signals on immigration have left it unclear how far he is retreating from his primary-season pledge to deport all undocumented immigrants.

But it is clear that any step back from his signature call for mass deportation in the policy speech he has scheduled for Wednesday in Arizona would represent a distinct break from the voters who provided the cornerstone of his winning coalition during the Republican nomination fight. In fact, Republicans who support deporting undocumented immigrants supplied Trump’s margin of victory in most of the key contests before he broke open the race in April. CONT.

Ronald Brownstein & Leah Askarinam, The Atlantic

Uninsured Down Since Obamacare; Cost, Quality Still Concerns

During his presidential campaign and first term in office, President Barack Obama made healthcare reform the foundation of his domestic agenda. Now, six years after the Affordable Care Act was signed into law and a few months before Obama leaves office, Gallup and Healthways are reviewing how his signature legislative achievement has affected the public’s perceptions of the law’s primary goals. These goals include: increasing healthcare accessibility, reducing healthcare costs and improving healthcare quality. CONT.

Nader Nekvasil, Gallup

Democrats Step Up Pursuit of House Republicans Left Limping by Donald Trump

Emboldened by Donald J. Trump’s struggles in the presidential race, Democrats in Congress are laying the groundwork to expand the list of House Republicans they will target for defeat as part of an effort to slash the Republicans’ 30-seat majority and even reclaim control if Mr. Trump falls further.

Mr. Trump’s unpopularity, which has already undermined the party’s grip on the Senate, now threatens to imperil Republican lawmakers even in traditionally conservative districts, according to strategists and officials in both parties involved in the fight for control of the House. CONT.

Alexander Burns & Jonathan Martin, New York Times

Donald Trump has a massive Catholic problem

Much has been made of Donald Trump’s problems with a few voting groups — female voters, blacks and Hispanics, and young voters, in particular. And, to be sure, they are all problems.

But relatively speaking, his biggest problem actually appears to be with a different group: Catholics.

Yes, the man who once feuded with the pope (how soon we forget that actually happened) is cratering among Catholics. CONT.

Aaron Blake, Washington Post

It’s Too Soon For Clinton To Run Out The Clock

Last week, Politico reported that Hillary Clinton’s campaign was set to employ a “run out the clock” strategy, declining to respond to recurring controversies even at the risk of seeming nonresponsive. In the abstract, such a strategy could make sense. Clinton has a fairly clear lead in the polls. There are only 10 weeks to go until the Nov. 8 election — and less than that until early voting, which begins in late September in some states.

But Clinton shouldn’t get too complacent. After mixed evidence before, it’s become clearer, at least according to our forecast models, that Donald Trump has regained some ground on her. CONT.

Nate Silver, FiveThirtyEight

Trump’s New Minority Outreach Carries Hidden Agenda, Strategists Say

Donald Trump is testing a novel way to fix a problem that no modern Republican presidential nominee has had.

His quest this week to reach out to black and Hispanic voters has a covert agenda, Republican strategists say, of winning back college-educated whites who historically prefer Republicans but seem to be turned off by Trump’s nativist appeals. …

“White suburban voters think he’s a racist or running a racist campaign. This is designed to make them feel like he is doing minority outreach even though the messaging is completely off-target,” said David Kochel, the former chief strategist for Jeb Bush’s 2016 presidential campaign. “Racism comes up in almost all the verbatim polling and he’s getting creamed in the suburbs.” CONT.

Sahil Kapur, Bloomberg Politics

Most in Florida Favor Use of Genetically Modified Mosquitoes to Fight Zika

Most Floridians favor the use of genetically modified mosquitoes to fight the spread of Zika virus and are significantly more likely to approve of it than people who live outside Florida, the latest Annenberg Science Knowledge (ASK) survey has found. CONT.

Annenberg Public Policy Center

Beyond Trump: Where will the Republican Party go after 2016?

When Donald Trump entered the presidential race in June 2015, the Republican Party was divided. By the time he accepted his nomination just over a year later, it had shattered into pieces. …

Whether or not Trump prevails in November, the GOP is set for a rebuilding process like none in recent memory. If he wins, he’ll face a Congress whose leaders have largely distanced themselves from his brand and who oppose much of his agenda. If he loses, his one-of-a-kind candidacy offers each faction of the party a credible argument that its approach would have carried the election instead.

We asked more than a dozen prominent minds in the Republican Party, including Trump supporters and Trump critics, fiscal conservatives and social conservatives, tea party rabble-rousers and veteran establishment hands, to assess the impact of Trump’s emergence and where the party goes from here. CONT.

Leigh Ann Caldwell & Benjy Sarlin, NBC News

Swing Voters Agree: This Election Stinks

Swing voters have heard little in recent weeks to help them make up their minds on who to support in a presidential race that they say flat out stinks.

That was the takeaway from a focus group of a dozen voters who have supported both a Republican and Democratic presidential candidate in the past 16 years. In the discussion, led by pollster Peter Hart on behalf of the Annenberg Public Policy Center at the University of Pennsylvania, Wisconsinites said they were disgusted with a negative campaign that has left them yearning for a lot more of the issues and a lot less name calling. CONT.

Andrew Rafferty, NBC News