Public Remains Wary of Federal Government’s Power

Six in 10 Americans think the government has too much power, marking the third year in a row that at least 59% of the public has voiced this view. The 60% recorded in this survey ties the previous high from 2013 for the question, which Gallup has asked annually since 2002. CONT.

Jim Norman, Gallup

Bloomberg Politics Focus Groups: Jeb Bush Not Impressing Voters in Iowa, New Hampshire

Jeb Bush’s presidential prospects are not looking good in the two states that will cast the first votes of the 2016 election.

Bloomberg’s Mark Halperin and John Heilemann conducted simultaneous focus groups with Republicans in Iowa and New Hampshire on Monday, at a crucial juncture in the presidential race when horserace numbers show “outsider” candidates surging and a candidates prepare for a third televised debate just around the corner. CONT.

Kendall Breitman, Bloomberg Politics

Why Kevin McCarthy’s Speaker Bid Was Doomed

Having a conservative track record isn’t everything in the Republican Party. Just ask Donald Trump, who doesn’t have one. Or Rep. Kevin McCarthy, who does. McCarthy decided today not to run for speaker of the House after supposedly having the edge. He faced opposition from the Freedom Caucus, a group of House Republicans who have pushed for a more confrontational approach with Democrats. CONT.

Harry Enten, FiveThirtyEight

The GOP sinks deeper into chaos. Can it still function as a party?

Less than a year after a sweeping electoral triumph, Republicans are on the verge of ceasing to function as a national political party.

The most powerful and crippling force at work in the ­once-hierarchical GOP is anger, directed as much at its own leaders as anywhere else. …

The forces that have made the House ungovernable are coming from the same wellspring of insurgency, beginning with the tea party movement, that propelled the Republicans back into control of Congress. CONT.

Karen Tumulty, Washington Post

Stagwell Group Will Acquire SKDKnickerbocker

The private equity firm founded with a quarter-billion dollar check from the former Microsoft chief Steven A. Ballmer has made its first purchase.

The firm, the Stagwell Group, which is being run by the former advertising executive Mark Penn, will acquire SKDKnickerbocker, the public relations group best known for its advertising and campaign work for prominent Democratic clients. CONT.

David Gelles, New York Times

The Consistent Clinton Coalition

For all the talk about the strength of Hillary Clinton’s coalition against Sanders, it’s not much different from the one she put together in 2008. The one (and very important) exception is her strength today among African-American voters. CONT.

Amy Walter, Cook Political Report

How Trump reflects America’s obsession with ‘winners’ and ‘losers’

… We have long been told that anyone in this country who wants to succeed, can. Casting aside the increasing impediments to social mobility, such as high college tuition costs and the loss of high-paid, blue-collar jobs, the onus is entirely on the individual. Surveys show that Americans strongly believe it. In fact, among industrialized nations, Americans are the only people who believe that they have the power to determine their own destiny.

Yet, however much Americans espouse it, that belief is shakier than we let on. CONT.

Neal Gabler, Reuters

On Immigration Policy, Wider Partisan Divide Over Border Fence Than Path to Legal Status

As immigration emerges as a key issue in the presidential campaign, there is little common ground between Republicans and Democrats in views of several immigration policy proposals. But partisan disagreements are much more pronounced on some issues than others. CONT.



Uninsured Rate at 11.6% in Third Quarter

The uninsured rate among U.S. adults aged 18 and older was 11.6% in the third quarter of 2015, essentially unchanged from 11.4% in the second quarter, and down from 11.9% in the first quarter. The uninsured rate has declined 5.5 percentage points since the fourth quarter of 2013, just before the requirement for Americans to carry health insurance took effect in early 2014. CONT.

Stephanie Marken, Gallup

Why we’re experimenting with online polling

The Los Angeles Times is releasing its first ever online poll, a snapshot of residents in our community and their thoughts about their neighborhoods, and the advantages and disadvantages of living here. …

Phone polls have long been considered the standard, but the polling industry is in flux. Some of the top organizations doing the surveys say costly and time-consuming phone polls are no longer the best method.

“In the last twenty years, telephone response rates have fallen from 36% (1997) to 9% (2012),” Drew Lieberman, Ben Winston and Nicholas Beaudoin of Greenberg Quinlan Rosner Research wrote in a memo prepared for The Times this summer weighing the merits of online versus telephone polling. CONT.

Christina Bellantoni, Los Angeles Times