Hillary Clinton Leads in New Hampshire by Historic Margin

Hillary Clinton holds a historic lead in the New Hampshire Democratic primary, although a shift in opinion about the party’s brand could be a drag on her candidacy in the general election. CONT.

Lisa Lerer, Bloomberg Politics

Rand Paul Shows Early Strength in New Hampshire Poll

Republican Rand Paul is showing early strength for a possible 2016 presidential bid in the first primary state, where a Bloomberg Politics/Saint Anselm New Hampshire Poll shows him running slightly ahead of more established names. CONT.

John McCormick, Bloomberg Politics

Poll finds racial divide over Wilson charges

Americans are sharply divided along racial lines as to whether Ferguson police Officer Darren Wilson should be charged with murder in the shooting death of Michael Brown, a new CNN/ORC poll out Monday finds.

Fifty-four percent of nonwhites — including blacks, Latinos and Asians — say Wilson should be charged with murder, while just 23% of whites agree. And 38% of whites say Wilson should be charged with no crime at all, while just 15% of nonwhites hold that position. CONT.

Eric Bradner, CNN

Exploring Online Non-Probability Sampling

SurveyMonkey … today announced plans to examine non-probability sampling and potential frameworks for measurement and evaluation with Westat, an employee-owned research corporation, and Pew Research Center, a nonpartisan, nonprofit research organization. Results from the collaboration will be made publicly available. CONT.

SurveyMonkey via PR Newswire

Democrats Should Heed Americans’ Economic Anxiety

To recover from their debacle in the midterm elections, Democrats have seized on two questionable propositions: They lost mainly because of President Barack Obama’s unpopularity, and the 2016 presidential election will be more favorable. …

Turnout, exit polls and other data suggest another Achilles’ heel for Democrats: the lack of any real focus on the economy. Many candidates talked about raising the minimum wage and achieving pay equity for women. But Republicans often co-opted those issues. CONT.

Albert R. Hunt, Bloomberg View

Americans Rate Postal Service Highest of 13 Major Agencies

While the U.S. Postal Service has recently withstood a barrage of negative attention, from getting hacked to announcing continued multibillion-dollar deficits, it enjoys the most positive image of 13 high-profile government agencies Gallup recently tested. Younger Americans are more likely than older Americans to review the Postal Service favorably. CONT.

Steve Ander & Art Swift, Gallup

A big reason climate change isn’t a priority: The apocalypse

If you want to understand how little urgency there is among the American public about climate change, consider this:

A new survey from the Public Religion Research Institute asked people about the severity of recent natural disasters. About six in 10 (62 percent) said climate change is at least partly to blame. About half — 49 percent — cited the biblical end times (as in, the apocalypse) for the recent natural disasters. CONT.

Aaron Blake, Washington Post

The Election Map Alone Doesn’t Explain The 2014 Republican Wave

Throughout the 2014 campaign, we kept hearing that Republicans were going to do well because of the “map.” …

It’s time to give the map argument a rest. Even if you control for the fact that a large number of races took place in red states, the Republican performance was the fourth-best by either party in the 17 Senate cycles since 1982. CONT.

Harry Enten & Dhrumil Mehta, FiveThirtyEight

No New Diversity in GOP’s Newly Won Districts

House Republicans had a good midterm election, giving them the biggest majority they’ve held since the 1920s and — coupled with the GOP’s new Senate majority — prompting some in Washington to talk about a more productive 114th Congress.

But as the Republicans have expanded their territory, there’s a curious wrinkle: The new Republican caucus looks a lot like the old Republican caucus. On the whole, the districts that make up the new House Republican majority look like they will be slightly more white and less Hispanic than the districts that made up the old House Republican majority — and just as rural. CONT.

Dante Chinni (American U.), Wall Street Journal

Despite Widespread Job Satisfaction, Americans Want More Flexibility and Opportunities

Most Americans say they are satisfied with their job, but pay, schedules, and the opportunity to advance remain sore spots for many, with the large percentage of adults whose work doesn’t follow the traditional 9-to-5 track reporting particular difficulty balancing their obligations on the job and at home, the latest Allstate/National Journal Heartland Monitor Poll has found. CONT.

Ron Brownstein, National Journal