Obama’s immigration policy popular, but approach isn’t

President Barack Obama’s policy of halting deportations for the undocumented parents of children born in the U.S. is popular — but his method for implementing it is not.

Only 26% of Americans think Obama’s plan for those immigrants goes too far, while 50% called it about right and 22% said it doesn’t go far enough, according to a CNN/ORC poll out Wednesday of 1,045 adults, conducted Nov. 21-23 and with a margin of error of plus or minus 3 percentage points. CONT.

Eric Bradner, CNN

Americans’ Effort to Lose Weight Still Trails Desire

As has generally been the case for the past decade, Americans continue to be about twice as likely to want to lose weight (51%) as to say they are seriously trying to do so (26%). CONT.

Justin McCarthy, Gallup

Ferguson highlights deep divisions between blacks and whites in America

After a grand jury decision not to indict a police officer in the shooting of an unarmed black teenager in Ferguson, Mo., President Obama condemned the riots that followed but said, “We need to recognize that the situation in Ferguson speaks to broader challenges that we still face as a nation.” Obama was speaking specifically of what he described as the “deep distrust [that] exists between law enforcement and communities of color.”

Indeed, Pew Research Center polling consistently shows that blacks and whites have very different views about many aspects of race — from confidence in the police to progress on racial equality. CONT.

Bruce Drake, Pew


Why the ‘war on women’ failed in 2014

… Though it is difficult to establish a connection between campaign rhetoric and voter behavior, the 2014 version of the “war on women” may not have benefited Democrats for this key reason: Democratic campaigns mistakenly conflated abortion and government-mandated insurance coverage for birth control, even though voters view these two issues through different lenses. In short, Democrats fundamentally misunderstood why there is a gender gap in American politics in the first place. CONT.

John McTague (Towson U.) & Melissa Deckman (Washington College), The Monkey Cage

Sharing Polling Numbers on Twitter: Decoding a Mystery

Perhaps the most bizarre electoral news since the midterms is the allegation that Republican operatives and outside groups used clandestine Twitter accounts to share polling data.

The Twitter accounts, which had no followers, tweeted polling results for House races in what might have been an effort to circumvent laws that preclude coordination between parties and outside groups. Their existence was first reported by Chris Moody of CNN, and the accounts were deleted moments after CNN contacted the National Republican Congressional Committee. CONT.

Nate Cohn, New York Times

Who Will Save the Democratic Party From Itself?

Not everyone agrees that Hillary Clinton’s selection as the Democratic nominee is unstoppable. The first to challenge her is Jim Webb, a one-term former senator from Virginia.

Here is the case for the Democratic Party renegade. CONT.

Thomas B. Edsall, New York Times

Obama Approval Drops Among Working-Class Whites

President Barack Obama’s job approval rating among white non-college graduates is at 27% so far in 2014, 14 percentage points lower than among white college graduates. This is the largest yearly gap between these two groups since Obama took office. These data underscore the magnitude of the Democratic Party’s problem with working-class whites, among whom Obama lost in the 2012 presidential election, and among whom Democratic House candidates lost in the 2014 U.S. House voting by 30 points. CONT.

Frank Newport, Gallup

Swing Voters Hold Key to Immigration Debate

The winner of a political argument is often determined by two things: timing and framing.

In the case of immigration reform—at least the specific battle over President Obama’s executive order last week—the policy is put in place, and it is unlikely that it will be successfully legislatively or judicially overturned before he leaves office. The question here is who wins the political argument surrounding the issue? How does the public opinion come down? CONT.

Charlie Cook

Recent polls: Immigration

Battling Into Overtime

… The public’s assessment of a retiring president always shadows the race to replace him: In exit polls, attitudes about the overall job performance of Ronald Reagan in 1988, Bill Clinton in 2000, and George W. Bush in 2008 powerfully predicted whether voters supported his party’s choice to succeed him.

But in those elections, the party nominees actually spent relatively little time debating whether to maintain the outgoing president’s specific policy agenda. …

In its early laps, the 2016 race is unfolding very differently. CONT.

Ron Brownstein, National Journal

Most Americans believe ISIS serious threat

Most Americans now believe ISIS poses at least a somewhat serious threat to the United States and Americans are growing slightly more hawkish on the U.S. strategy to combat the militant group, according to a CNN/ORC poll released Monday. CONT.

Jeremy Diamond, CNN