On Social Ideology, the Left Catches Up to the Right

Thirty-one percent of Americans describe their views on social issues as generally liberal, matching the percentage who identify as social conservatives for the first time in Gallup records dating back to 1999. CONT.

Jeffrey M. Jones, Gallup

Nobody Cares About the Deficit

Sitting here in the UK, where everyone continues to believe that budget deficits are the central issue despite overwhelming evidence to the contrary, it’s refreshing to look home once in a while and contemplate the utter collapse of the deficit-scold agenda.

One way to see this is to track the disappearance of Alan Simpson from the radar; another is to look at polls that ask people to name important issues. CONT.

Paul Krugman, New York Times

Republicans want to make Iraq a winning issue in 2016 — and it just might work

Republican presidential hopefuls are actively angling to turn Iraq — an unpopular war that sent George W. Bush’s approval ratings to record lows — into a winning issue for their party in 2016. And there’s reason to believe it just might work.

While the Iraq war continues to be unpopular, lukewarm or negative ratings for Obama’s handling of a variety of international issues has helped Republicans regain the advantage they lost to Democrats during the 2000s. CONT.

Scott Clement, Washington Post

Americans ‘remember’ opposing the Iraq War

Americans’ memories of their own past beliefs about the 2003 Iraq War are tinged with their current feelings about what has taken place there since and what is taking place there now. In the latest Economist/YouGov Poll, just 38% admit that they supported sending troops to Iraq in 2003. Less than a month before that U.S-led invasion, more than six in ten Americans in a Gallup Poll indicated they favored sending in ground troops. CONT.

Kathy Frankovic, YouGov

How To Run Unopposed And Alienate Swing Voters

With every national poll of Democratic primary voters reporting at least 50-point leads against any other probable or improbable Democratic candidate, it is hard to see how Hillary Rodham Clinton will not be crowned the Democratic nominee.

And, the Democratic primary voter data from the latest NBC News/Wall Street Journal Poll shows that the recent news stories related to her emails and foundation fund-raising during her time as Secretary of State are not yet hurting her image and standing with those voters.

In fact, some core Democratic sub-groups report even higher positive ratings in the two months between the most recent WSJ/NBC polls – March 1-5 and April 26-30.

But, for everyone else and especially with key swing voter groups, these news stories are having measureable negative effects. CONT.

Micah Roberts, Public Opinion Strategies

Consumers’ Expectations for U.S. Economy Drop Most Since 2013

Americans’ expectations for the economy slumped in May by the most since October 2013, casting doubt on consumers’ ability to revive growth. A measure tracking the economic outlook fell by 6 points to 44 this month, data from the Bloomberg Consumer Comfort Index showed Thursday. CONT.

Michelle Jamrisko, Bloomberg

Americans Greatly Overestimate Percent Gay, Lesbian in U.S.

The American public estimates on average that 23% of Americans are gay or lesbian, little changed from Americans’ 25% estimate in 2011, and only slightly higher than separate 2002 estimates of the gay and lesbian population. These estimates are many times higher than the 3.8% of the adult population who identified themselves as lesbian, gay, bisexual or transgender in Gallup Daily tracking in the first four months of this year. CONT.

Frank Newport, Gallup

ACA: Survey Finds Most in Marketplace Coverage Satisfied with Premiums and Networks, But Affordability Remains Concern

This survey reports on the views and experiences of people purchasing health insurance coverage in the non-group market. Over the past few years, the Affordable Care Act (ACA) has had a significant impact on this group, as new rules took effect that standardized coverage, guaranteed coverage for those with pre-existing conditions, and established income-based federal financial assistance to those buying insurance through new health insurance Exchanges or Marketplaces. CONT.

Kaiser Family Foundation

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Negative Views of New Congress Cross Party Lines

The new Republican-led Congress is drawing harsh reviews from the public – including most Republicans. Just 23% of Americans say congressional Republicans are keeping the promises they made during last fall’s campaign, while 65% say they are not. CONT.

Pew

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Obama Favorable Rating Up, Best Since September 2013

Americans’ favorable ratings of President Barack Obama now stand at 53%, up four points from March. This comes after a year in which these ratings were mostly below 50% and marks the president’s highest score since September 2013. CONT.

Justin McCarthy, Gallup