Young Republicans are more hopeful about the future of America by a margin of 10 to 1 after President Donald Trump’s inaugural address, while young Democrats are fearful and independents are split between hopeful and fearful, finds a new national poll of America’s 18- to 29- year-olds by Harvard Kennedy […] Read more »
Forget the ’60s—The Real Generation Gap Is Happening Right Now
Since the election last month, we have seen a parade of analyses examining how Clinton supporters differ from Trump supporters along the dividing lines of race, education, and geographic residence. The persistence of partisan differences by age in American elections, however, has received somewhat less attention. … Hillary Clinton may […] Read more »
The politics of the rising American electorate
For more than a decade now, we have been predicting that the changing demographic make-up of our country would change the electorate and our politics and decide elections. Last year we projected that the rising American electorate (RAE) — the rapidly growing group of unmarried women, millennials and non-white voters […] Read more »
Yes, you can blame millennials for Hillary Clinton’s loss
Hillary Clinton’s campaign has lots of excuses for losing. … But Clinton campaign manager Robby Mook said Thursday that one particular group is especially to blame: millennials. … I’ll admit I was skeptical. Young people often get blamed for not showing up to vote; they’re an easy target that way. […] Read more »
How Millennials voted this election
… While many expected the low favorability ratings of the two candidates and the divisiveness of this election year to keep young voters home, 2016 saw similar rates of young adult turnout as 2012. On election day, Hillary Clinton won the youth vote (55 percent) while Donald Trump only garnered […] Read more »
Deciphering election polling, from algorithms and youth votes to the Electoral College
The outcome of the 2016 general election in the United States was momentous and surprising. Yet some commentaries seem to suggest that means we need to rethink our basic understandings of voters and elections. I disagree, albeit gently, with that kind of hyperbole. Here’s why. CONT. Laura Stoker, Berkeley Read more »