The 1960s have achieved almost mythic status as a hinge point in American history. Both those who welcomed and feared the convulsive changes the decade brought can agree on one thing: Socially, culturally, and politically, the nation was a very different place when it ended than when it began. This […] Read more »
Joe Biden is winning female voters by a historic margin
Former Vice President Joe Biden leads President Donald Trump in the polls for a lot of different reasons. One large one is his support from female voters. Biden is earning a historic amount of support from female voters for a presidential nominee when examining polling over the last 70 years. […] Read more »
Eroding support from white working-class women threatens Trump’s reelection
Although it has received less attention, Trump’s waning support among women with less than a college degree may prove just as important as his eroding support among older voters. As far back as the 2018 midterm elections, commentators began suggesting that support for Trump was dwindling among white non-college women. […] Read more »
Biden plans to pick a female running mate. Would it make a difference if she’s black?
With a pandemic raging, there’s not much in the way of traditional campaigning for Joe Biden to do right now. But he is managing to conduct the most public series of running mate auditions of any apparent Democratic nominee in decades. On Thursday, Biden appeared on national television for a […] Read more »
The Gendered Politics of Congressional Elections
When Senator Elizabeth Warren was asked whether she believed that the men in the 2020 presidential race have a better chance of beating Trump solely because of their gender, she answered, “I believe they may think so, but they’d be wrong. […] What the data show now is that in […] Read more »
Americans, Not Politicians, Will Decide When We Reopen
All but a dozen states are in some phase of reopening from COVID-19 related shutdowns, and forecasts of the pandemic’s toll in the U.S. have correspondingly increased death projections due to the virus. In this installment of the FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast, the crew discusses whether there is an overarching plan […] Read more »