Donald Trump’s Struggle in Wisconsin Is About Demographics, Not Momentum

… We’ve frequently published articles using models to predict the results of contests based on demographics, and both models — one after the Super Tuesday primaries and one after the March 15 primaries — projected Wisconsin to be one of Mr. Trump’s worst remaining states. … Why is Wisconsin such […] Read more »

Battleground Wisconsin: A Trump loss to Cruz could reshape GOP race

Wisconsin has become an unexpected battleground for Donald Trump and the conglomeration of forces desperately aligning against him, with Tuesday’s primary emerging as a key moment that could reshape the Republican nominating contest both mathematically and psychologically. … What also makes Wisconsin important is that it is the only contest […] Read more »

Tales and takeaways from 28 years of covering the Wisconsin Primary

Welcome to the most important Wisconsin presidential primary since Kennedy beat Humphrey — and maybe the wildest ever. I’ve only covered the last eight. This is one is in a league of its own, but there are threads that connect it to the past. CONT. Craig Gilbert, Journal Sentinel Read more »

CBS News online poll: GOP voters divided as April primaries loom

Ted Cruz has the lead in Wisconsin as its primary nears, up 43 percent to 37 percent over Donald Trump in an electorate that plays to Cruz’s strengths, where Republicans are apt to call themselves “very” conservative and Cruz seems poised to take advantage. … In Trump’s home state of […] Read more »

The Presidential Primary Season: Watching Wisconsin

The battle between Donald Trump and his opponents within the GOP has moved to Wisconsin, and the stakes couldn’t be much higher: Based on our gaming out of delegate math last week, Trump may need a statewide win in the Badger State to stay on course for potentially winning a […] Read more »