Getting to Know White Voters

There are LOTS of opinions and narratives out there about white voters. Hillary Clinton lost because white women abandoned her. White, non-college educated voters are Trump’s base. They are never coming back/will come back to Democrats. Donald Trump’s testosterone-laden presidency alienated lots of white, college-educated women who held their noses […] Read more »

The Women Who Gave Trump the White House Could Tip the Midterms to Democrats

When Donald Trump this week publicly disparaged his former aide Omarosa Manigault-Newman as a “dog,” he crystallized again the belligerent style and volatile behavior that has exposed Republican candidates in November to the risk of a crushing backlash among women. The most important unanswered question for the midterm election may […] Read more »

A Few Political Consequences of the Democratic Surge Among College-Educated Whites

The Pew Research Center recently released an informative report on the composition of the American electorate, based on a survey of citizens whose electoral participation (or lack thereof) in 2016 was confirmed by matching their names to state voter turnout records. … The national exit poll estimated that Clinton had […] Read more »

How to understand Trump’s condemnation of ‘all types of racism’

… “The riots in Charlottesville a year ago resulted in senseless death and division,” Trump tweeted Saturday afternoon. “We must come together as a nation. I condemn all types of racism and acts of violence. Peace to ALL Americans!” … By pointedly adding “all types,” he’s implicitly raising the question […] Read more »

The White Strategy: Trump’s winning coalition and its weaknesses

In the aftermath of the 2012 election, when just about everyone assumed Mitt Romney lost because he didn’t win enough Hispanic votes, the election analyst Sean Trende produced a dissenting take. A close look at the results across the Midwest and Appalachia revealed a large population of what Trende called […] Read more »