Republican allies of President Trump are researching new ways to position him in the run-up to the 2020 election, particularly among the college-educated suburbanites who voted for Democrats in November because of their disapproval of the president. One polling effort is intended to test messages and policy initiatives for the […] Read more »
White Voters Without A Degree Remained Staunchly Republican In 2018
… In 2016, educational divides emerged as one of the top explanations of voters’ choices: White voters without a bachelor’s degree made up the Republican base, while a coalition of nonwhite voters and white college graduates formed the Democratic base. The 2018 midterms seemed to continue what we saw in […] Read more »
The foundation of Trump’s coalition is cracking
Cracks have emerged in Donald Trump’s hold on his core constituency of white working class voters, new data from the 2018 election reveal. Though Republican candidates almost everywhere registered large margins among white voters without a college degree, Democrats ran much more competitively among the roughly half of that group […] Read more »
Are White Evangelicals the Saviors of the GOP?
Amid all the talk about shifting demographics and political changes over the last decade, one key voting group has remained virtually unchanged: white evangelicals. According to one evangelical leader, a record number of white evangelicals voted in the 2018 midterms after an inspired turnout effort. … But since turnout was […] Read more »
In Mississippi Senate Race, the Suburbs Won’t Save Democrat Mike Espy
Democrats swept back control of the U.S. House this month due to dominance in suburban districts. But in Mississippi’s U.S. Senate runoff Tuesday, Republicans have two big advantages. Not only is Mississippi one of the country’s least suburban states, it’s also sharply divided by one of the few factors that […] Read more »
Across South, Democrats Risk Speaking Boldly and Alienating Rural White Voters
When Mike Espy, the Democrat challenging Senator Cindy Hyde-Smith of Mississippi, faced his opponent at a debate ahead of this Tuesday’s runoff election, he had to make a choice: confront Ms. Hyde-Smith over her comments about attending “a public hanging,” which evoked the state’s racist history, or take a milder […] Read more »