… The growing diversity of the American electorate is making it harder for the Republican Party to win national majorities. Republicans have won the popular vote in presidential elections just once in the last 30 years. … The problem runs deeper than electoral math, however. Much of the Republican base […] Read more »
Why race is moving center stage for 2020
An escalating cycle of action and reaction between President Donald Trump and the Democratic presidential contenders is thrusting issues of race relations and American identity to the center of the developing 2020 campaign. … In 2020, the contrast between the nominees on issues of race relations will likely be as […] Read more »
How extremist conspiracy theories about immigration and demographic change can fuel violence
The recent series of shootings and attempted bombings across the globe show how fears about racial and ethnic change can motivate violence. In El Paso, a gunman killed twenty-two and injured twenty-four others. He appears to have been motivated by the belief that there is an active plot to exterminate […] Read more »
Univision News poll: Democrats surge in Texas, no longer a safe state for Trump in 2020
President Donald Trump could be defeated in Texas, a conservative state which has not elected a Democratic presidential candidate for over 40 years. Days away from the third Democratic debate in Houston and over a year from the 2020 presidential election, an exclusive poll by Univision News found that 40% […] Read more »
Why working-class whites aren’t giving up on Trump
“In some countries working-class groups have proved to be the most nationalistic and jingoistic sector of the population,” wrote the highly esteemed sociologist and political scientist Seymour Martin Lipset — 60 years ago last month. In his seminal article “Democracy and Working-Class Authoritarianism,” which appeared in the August 1959 issue […] Read more »
Six maps that reveal America’s expanding racial diversity
In less than one year, the 2020 census will record just how much more racially diverse the nation has become, continuing the “diversity explosion” that punctuated the results of the 2010 census. While less authoritative than the once-a-decade national headcount, recently released U.S. Census Bureau estimates for 2018 make plain […] Read more »