After three contests, Hillary Clinton leads Bernie Sanders by the slimmest of margins in the Democratic primary, 51 to 50 in delegates. But she hasn’t yet tapped into what is probably her greatest strength: black voters. CONT. Nate Cohn, New York Times Read more »
Donald Trump’s Surprising Success with Southern Evangelicals
Beltway Republicans are panicking over Donald Trump’s landslide in Nevada. But, if they thought the Wednesday after Nevada was bad, just wait for the Wednesday after Super Tuesday. Tuesday’s contests include the so-called SEC primary with six states of the former Confederacy and a seventh, Oklahoma, which votes like a […] Read more »
How ‘Values Voters’ Became ‘Nostalgia Voters’
The South Carolina Republican primary results present long-time observers of white evangelical Protestants’ political behavior with a conundrum. How did Donald Trump—a twice-divorced, casino-owning New Yorker who curses during campaign speeches and is prone to church-related gaffes such as accidentally putting cash into the communion plate—win in this southern state […] Read more »
Democratic Candidates Face Different Kinds of Diversity in Nevada and South Carolina
After its start in two overwhelmingly white states, Iowa and New Hampshire, the presidential nominating contests move on to much more diverse territory in South Carolina and Nevada. The change is particularly important to Democrats Hillary Clinton and Bernie Sanders. The racial and ethnic compositions of Democratic electorates changes from […] Read more »
Clinton Strong in South Carolina But Warning Signs Ahead, Bloomberg Poll Shows
Hillary Clinton holds a commanding lead over Bernie Sanders in South Carolina thanks to a 3-to-1 advantage among African-American voters, according to a Bloomberg Politics poll that shows the Democrats’ fourth nominating contest still can be a Clinton firewall to blunt her rival’s momentum. But the survey also carries warning […] Read more »
Rubio Or Cruz Could Help The GOP Win Over More Latino Voters
Even after Marco Rubio’s and Ted Cruz’s respective fifth-place and third-place finishes in New Hampshire, the GOP is closer to nominating a Latino candidate for president than either major party has ever been. As of this writing, betting markets give Rubio and Cruz a combined 39 percent chance to be […] Read more »