… New analysis by The Upshot shows that millions more white, older working-class voters went to the polls in 2012 than was found by exit polls on Election Day. This raises the prospect that Mr. Trump has a larger pool of potential voters than generally believed. The wider path may […] Read more »
Americans aren’t biased against Latino immigration. Here’s what they actually fear.
… In a recent study, we tried to determine what is really behind many white Americans’ support for “getting tough” on illegal immigration. Do they oppose offering legal status to illegal immigrants because they fundamentally dislike Latinos as a group and reject policy reforms that would benefit them? Or do […] Read more »
How Much Will Trump Cost the Republican Party?
… The party uproar over Trump’s charge that Judge Gonzalo Curiel is biased against him because he is “Mexican” dwarfs the unease over any previous Trump comment. … Unease with demographic and cultural change has long rippled through the modern GOP agenda; it helps explain how the party has constructed […] Read more »
Nonviolence, Violence and Voting: The Effects of the 1960s Black Protest Movements on White Attitudes and Voting Behavior
Between 1963 and 1967, American public opinion and policy on issues of race whipsawed from a spike in concern about civil rights to a widespread call for “law and order.” Current scholarship points to the role of elite actors and feelings of group threat but these factors cannot adequately explain […] Read more »
Trump’s Rhetoric of White Nostalgia
The most important word in Donald Trump’s lexicon may be: “again.” The word anchors many of his signature declarations, as when he insists: “If I’m elected president, we will win again.” In a jab at the secularization of American life, he’s promised: “If I’m elected … we’re all going to […] Read more »
It’s Nativism: Explaining the Drivers of Trump’s Popular Support
… Simply put, it is all about nativism! Indeed, across all methods, the findings are incredibly consistent—those who support Trump are much more likely to hold strong nativist and anti-immigrant beliefs, controlling for other ideological and demographic variables. Most importantly, nativism is the most impactful driver of support for Trump. […] Read more »