The scathing letter released Monday by 50 former top GOP national-security officials declaring that Donald Trump “lacks the character, values and experience to be President” was a missile aimed directly at the embattled Republican nominee’s greatest weakness: the doubts about his qualifications for the nation’s biggest job, particularly among white-collar […] Read more »
Trump Seems More the Result of a Shift Among White Men Than the Cause of It
Many people believe that Donald Trump is about to remake the Republican Party. … The party is changing, but data from this election and the previous two suggest that some of the changes have little to do with Mr. Trump expanding the party. Mr. Trump may instead be helping Hillary […] Read more »
Trump’s racism could lose him moderate white support, data shows
… While a large share of Americans embrace racial resentment and other less explicit forms of racism, the overt racism that Trump has dabbled in may be more alienating. To examine this question, I turned to the American National Election Studies (ANES) 2016 pilot survey, which asked respondents about their […] Read more »
The Diverse Left and White Working-Class Right
The evocative sound of barriers falling was the signal note during the Democratic National Convention’s first two nights. … But there is also an undercurrent of concern that something old is being lost in this celebration of the new. The fear among some is that this polychromatic Democratic Party, open […] Read more »
The Class Inversion of American Politics Accelerates
The reshaping of the two parties’ coalitions under the blast-force pressure of Donald Trump’s iconoclastic candidacy may reach unprecedented heights in 2016, the first polls released after the GOP convention suggest. National surveys released on Monday by CBS and CNN/ORC show the gap between the preferences of whites with and […] Read more »
The One Demographic That Is Hurting Hillary Clinton
The list of voting groups generally alienated by Donald J. Trump is long: Hispanics, women, the young, the college educated and more. How is it that he’s in such a close race with Hillary Clinton? The answer lies with a group that still represented nearly half of all voters in […] Read more »