Nearly two-thirds (64%) of Americans oppose allowing small business owners in their state to refuse to provide products or services to gay or lesbian people if doing so violates their religious beliefs. Roughly one-third (32%) support such religiously based service refusals. … After plateauing in 2015, support for same-sex marriage […] Read more »
Donald Trump’s Political Stew
… The 2016 election and its aftermath have produced turmoil on the right while once again forcing into public view worrisome long-term trends in the Democratic electorate. … One of the mainstays of Democratic optimism is the conviction that a growing body of young voters — more liberal than their […] Read more »
The Democrats’ Pivot
… As noted in the chart below, the Democrat Party’s image among white voters has been in steep decline over the last decade. Accelerating their decline is their standing among the white working class, a group identified in numerous post mortems of the 2018 campaign as a key coalition in […] Read more »
The Electoral College Blind Spot
Donald Trump’s victory in last November’s election victory came despite the fact that he lost the popular vote by 2.1 percentage points, making for the widest discrepancy between the popular vote and the Electoral College since 1876. So one measure of the quality of horse-race analysis is in how seriously […] Read more »
The Trumpcare Conundrum
… The paradox of the health-reform debate is that many of Obamacare’s key elements raised costs on younger and healthier people who generally vote Democratic as a means of limiting the financial exposure of older and sicker people, even as older whites have stampeded toward the GOP. Conversely, many of […] Read more »
Behind the Badge: How police view their jobs
Police work has always been hard. Today police say it is even harder. In a new Pew Research Center national survey conducted by the National Police Research Platform, majorities of police officers say that recent high-profile fatal encounters between black citizens and police officers have made their jobs riskier, aggravated […] Read more »