It has been almost 18 months since the 2018 presidential election, but pundits and scholars continue to debate how President Donald Trump pulled off one of the most shocking upsets in recent political history. There is general agreement on one point — Trump’s strong appeal to white-working class voters was […] Read more »
As elections near, many older, educated, white voters shift away from Trump’s party
Older, white, educated voters helped Donald Trump win the White House in 2016. Now, they are trending toward Democrats in such numbers that their ballots could tip the scales in tight congressional races from New Jersey to California, a new Reuters/Ipsos poll and a data analysis of competitive districts shows. […] Read more »
What We Mean When We Talk About ‘Suburban Women Voters’
… For all the attention they get in politics, asking why suburban women voters matter has the ring of asking why water is wet; at this point, it’s just an accepted, definitional Thing that suburban women voters are highly coveted. But seriously: why do suburban voters — and suburban women […] Read more »
50 years after Martin Luther King’s Assassination: Assessing Progress of the Civil Rights Movement
On April 4, 1968, the Rev. Martin Luther King, Jr., was assassinated in Memphis. Most Americans today say at least some of the goals of the 1960’s civil rights movement that he spearheaded have been attained. But black and white Americans differ widely in how they perceive the treatment of […] Read more »
Data and Messaging around Race and Education
There are two separate issues covered in Thomas Edsall’s Thursday, March 30, 2018 article in the New York Times. First, exit polls have problems with race and education. Certainty true, but not exactly as the author describes. Second, Democrats have problems messaging race and education. Certainty true, but not exactly […] Read more »
Despite porn stars and Playboy models, white evangelicals aren’t rejecting Trump. This is why.
A porn actress says she had sex with Donald Trump, only a few months after his wife gave birth to a son. A former Playboy model says she had an affair with him, too. And yet according to a Pew Research Center poll conducted March 7-14, both white mainline and […] Read more »