Donald Trump would beat Joe Biden 49%-44% in Texas if the presidential race were held now, according to the latest University of Texas/Texas Tribune Poll. In the Trump-Biden contest, Democratic and Republican voters overwhelmingly back their own party’s candidate. But independent voters are on the fence, with 39% favoring Trump, […] Read more »
Bipartisan Support for Expanded Vote By Mail in November
This edition of our daily tracking release features findings from a national online survey of 1,010 registered voters conducted April 20-April 23, 2020. • Trump’s approval rating on handling the coronavirus pandemic remains negative and tracks with Americans hearing more negative things about his handling of the crisis.• Most Americans […] Read more »
Just What Will Voting Look Like This Fall?
One of the most immediate repercussions of the COVID-19 pandemic on our politics is its impact on who votes and how they do it. Before COVID-19, there was an expectation for record-breaking turnout in 2020. … Since the outbreak of coronavirus, however, CNN polling has shown a dip in enthusiasm, […] Read more »
Two-thirds of voters back vote-by-mail in November 2020
A majority of voters — 58 percent — favor nationwide reform of election rules that would allow all eligible voters to cast their ballots by mail, a new NBC News/Wall Street Journal poll finds. And nearly 10 percent more say that, while the rules should not be permanently changed, all […] Read more »
Important lessons from the Wisconsin primary
The Greater Wisconsin Primary—votes on April 7, results on April 13—served as a petri dish to study what election might look like if government officials can’t agree in time for November about how to flex longstanding election rules to ensure integrity in elections while guarding public health. The results show […] Read more »
How To Hold An Election During A Crisis
The COVID-19 pandemic has turned election administration upside down. Sixteen presidential primary contests have been postponed and Wisconsin, which held its election as planned, saw large scale polling place closures and unfulfilled requests for mail ballots. In this installment of the FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast, we look at voting during times […] Read more »