Mississippi Gov. Haley Barbour asserted this morning on NBC’s TODAY that “Hurricane Sandy saved Barack Obama’s presidency.” But did the president’s perceived leadership during the immediate aftermath of the storm really move 2.9 million votes? That’s highly unlikely. In fact, Sandy may have actually cost the president 800,000 votes. [cont.] […] Read more »
Shifting Voter Support, 2008 to 2012
Which voters’ Presidential preferences changed from 2008 to 2012? That straightforward question is central to making sense of yesterday’s election outcome—and yet it is a deceptively hard question. For example, consider the results from this year’s exit polls. They indicate that Hispanic voters backed President Obama by a margin of […] Read more »
Obama wins 75% of Latino vote, marks historic Latino influence in presidential election
… Latino support for President Obama was huge, with a record-breaking 75% of Latino voters nationwide (see below) casting their ballot for the President- the previous high for Latino voters was the 72% for Bill Clinton in 1996. Romney’s share of 23% was nowhere near the 38% his team identified […] Read more »
Changing Face of America Helps Assure Obama Victory
Barack Obama retained enough support from key elements of his base to win reelection, even as he lost ground nationally since 2008. In particular, Obama maintained wide advantages among young people, women, minorities, and both the less affluent and the well-educated. … Evidence of the demographic transformation of the electorate […] Read more »
Election Results 2012: Nate Silver on How He Got It Right
Nate Silver and Megan Liberman discuss President Obama’s re-election win. Read more »
Nine Things to Think About on Election Night
Nine interesting things to think about as we await the election results: [cont.] Frank Newport, Gallup Read more »