In the next several weeks the Supreme Court is expected to rule on the constitutionality of the requirement that several states, mostly in the South, get “pre-clearance” from the Justice Department before they make any changes to their election laws. … The justices won’t necessarily find a rationale for their […] Read more »
The First Ever Electoral Map?
The good folks at Handsome Atlas have scanned the entirety of the 1880 Statistical Atlas of the United States, and look what’s in there … That’s a very detailed, county-level map of the 1880 presidential election results, published in 1889. [cont.] Seth Masket (U. of Denver), The Mischiefs of Faction Read more »
Has the Millennial generation ‘overwhelmed’ the electorate?
… Even the most ardent critics of the cohort theory will admit that a person’s views of the presidential administration he or she grew up with will shape their political views going forward. The real question is whether or not the Millennials have a a large enough portion of the […] Read more »
Skepticism About the Census Voter Turnout Finding
The Census Bureau made big news last week when it reported that the black voter turnout rate (66.2%) exceeded the white voter turnout rate (64.1%) for the first time ever in 2012. But a closer look at the numbers raises some intriguing questions. It’s possible that the lines may have […] Read more »
How Much Did the 2012 Air War and Ground Game Matter?
In this third and final post in our mini-symposium on campaign effects in the 2012 presidential election, I’ll report on some of what Lynn Vavreck and I have found in our work for The Gamble. Lynn and I were able to do something that, to our knowledge, has not been […] Read more »
Blacks Voted at a Higher Rate than Whites in 2012 Election — A First
About two in three eligible blacks (66.2 percent) voted in the 2012 presidential election, higher than the 64.1 percent of non-Hispanic whites who did so, according to a U.S. Census Bureau report released today. This marks the first time that blacks have voted at a higher rate than whites since […] Read more »