This past year may end up being remembered as the year that we discovered that the NSA and telecommunications companies were gathering enormous troves of personal data on us and using it for … well, we don’t quite know what yet. But on the less nefarious side, 2013 was also […] Read more »
President Obama’s lost generation
As a pollster who is planning surveys for 2014 candidates, I am compelled to try and develop some sense of the likely electorate — a model of probable turnout. Who will vote in the midterm elections? It’s tough to say these days. … Seasoned citizens, our oldest voters, are in […] Read more »
Does VA Gov Explain the 1992 Perot Vote?
One more time into the question about the VA-Gov polls and the election results. I came up with a possible (and speculative) explanation based on the condition of two candidates who were not especially popular among their own parties, along with a sufficiently well-publicized third candidate. CONT. Jonathan Bernstein, A […] Read more »
Voter Registration Lags Among Hispanics and Asians
U.S. Hispanics and Asians are much less likely to be registered to vote than whites or blacks. Whereas more than eight in 10 blacks and whites are registered, and therefore able to vote in elections, 60% of Asians and barely half of Hispanics are currently able to participate in the […] Read more »
Keeping Black Voters in Their Place
The Republicans who now control the legislatures and governorships in the deep South are using the landmark Voting Rights Act of 1965 to create a system of political apartheid. No state demonstrates this better than Alabama, where in 2010 Republicans took over the State Senate and House for the first […] Read more »
The Right to Vote
It is becoming increasingly obvious that the Supreme Court decision in Shelby County v. Holder, which eviscerated the Voting Rights Act, is leading to a new era of voter suppression that parallels the pre-1960s era—this time affecting not just African-Americans but also Hispanic-Americans, women, and students, among others. The reasoning […] Read more »