Select members of the Democracy Fund Voter Study Group (Voter Study Group), a research collaboration comprised of nearly two dozen analysts and scholars from across the political spectrum, will present key findings from their research at the 2017 American Political Science Association (APSA) Annual Meeting in San Francisco. In advance […] Read more »
Did enough Bernie Sanders supporters vote for Trump to cost Clinton the election?
On Tuesday night, Sen. Bernie Sanders (I-Vt.) was in Detroit to host a town hall meeting with Rep. John Conyers Jr. (D-Mich.). It felt, writes The Washington Post’s Dave Weigel, like a “campaign rally.” Indeed, Sanders is still being discussed as a front-runner for the Democratic nomination in 2020. New […] Read more »
The Obama-Trump Voters Are Real. Here’s What They Think.
The story of the 2016 presidential election is simple. Donald J. Trump made huge gains among white voters without a college degree. His gains were large enough to cancel out considerable losses among well-educated white voters and a decade of demographic shifts. There are questions and details still up for […] Read more »
There’s no such thing as a Trump Democrat
… It has become an article of faith that an unusually large number of people who voted for Barack Obama in 2008 or 2012 switched sides and voted for Donald Trump over Hillary Clinton. It follows that Democrats, to win in the future, need to get these lost partisans to […] Read more »
Why the next black president could be a Republican
… As the nation has sorted itself along party lines and antipathy has risen between the two sides , white Republicans who might harbor racial animus are willing to shelve that impulse to ensure that Democrats lose elections. “At a minimum, the level of ideological polarization in American politics masks […] Read more »
Mixed Messages on Enthusiasm and Engagement
One of the most important factors in every election is turnout. Predicting who turns out, of course, is tricky. History tells us that angry people vote. The more enraged a voter is about issues/the political environment/the candidates, the more engaged in the election they will be. There’s also been a […] Read more »