Our October 2017 survey results demonstrate rising concerns about American democracy over the past month. From September to October, ratings worsened on every dimension except civil violence. Further, democracy experts still see American political behavior in 2017 as firmly outside the norm for consolidated democracies. On average, experts rate a […] Read more »
What Will Virginia And New Jersey Tell Us About Trump?
… Should a Republican win in Virginia — where polls have been inconsistent but show only a 3 or 4-percentage-point lead for Democrat Ralph Northam, on average — be cause for Democratic panic? Should Democrats get any credit for a double-digit win in New Jersey (as seems likely based on […] Read more »
Voter Trends in 2016
The unprecedented and largely unanticipated election of Republican candidate Donald Trump as president of the United States in 2016 set off intense debates about how his victory was achieved and which factors mattered most in determining the outcome. … For this project, we developed original turnout and support estimates by […] Read more »
Poll finds one-third of Latinos say they have experienced discrimination in their jobs and when seeking housing
This report is part of a series titled “Discrimination in America.” The series is based on a survey conducted for National Public Radio, the Robert Wood Johnson Foundation, and Harvard T.H. Chan School of Public Health. While many surveys have explored Americans’ beliefs about discrimination, this survey asks people about […] Read more »
In Today’s America, Small Voting Shifts Can Have Really Big Effects
… One of the most distinctive attributes of our current political era is that the two parties are closely balanced at the national level, yet each side maintains a formidable record of electoral dominance across large regional subsections of the United States. Since the 1990s, we have experienced a series […] Read more »
Was the 2016 election actually a political realignment?
Did 2016 represent a realignment? That’s certainly an overused and somewhat taboo word these days. But to listen to media coverage today, you might get the impression that 2016 was a substantial break from voting patterns of the past. I’d like to explore this question a bit here and bring […] Read more »