The network exit poll finds 80 percent of white evangelical or born-again Christians supported Roy Moore, 10 points lower than the share of this group that backed Mitt Romney in 2012. The shift is statistically significant and would have been enough to overcome Jones’s 1.5 percentage-point victory margin. CONT. Scott […] Read more »
Placing Priority: How Issues Mattered More than Demographics in the 2016 Election
Key Findings Viewing the electorate through the lens of issue priorities rather than through demographic variables yields valuable insights. Our analysis suggests that the mix of issue priorities revealed more about voter decision-making than demography. … The key issues driving the election, based on what voters found most important, were […] Read more »
Democrats Draw Vivid Lesson From Alabama: Mobilize Black Voters
Amid the Democrats’ celebration over their success in turning out a huge number of black voters in the Senate election in Alabama, party leaders, activists and operatives are seeing a vivid message to increase outreach, mobilization and investment in minority communities. … About 30 percent of the electorate in the […] Read more »
Democrats see road map for 2018 in huge turnout among black voters in Alabama
… The Alabama race, like last month’s elections in Virginia, saw Democrats outperform expectations and polling thanks to a surge of nonwhite voters. A year that began with hand-wringing over President Trump’s victory ended with routs and upsets powered by the party’s most loyal supporters. Democrats in Alabama and elsewhere […] Read more »
2018 looks like a Democratic wave
Republican Roy Moore was the most important reason that Democrat Doug Jones won Alabama’s U.S. Senate election on Tuesday. Moore was simply an atrocious candidate. This can be seen clearly in exit poll results showing that only 41 percent of voters in this Republican stronghold had a favorable opinion of […] Read more »
Special Election Recap: Alabama Shakes (Up the Senate)
Here are a few things we learned from the dramatic victory of Doug Jones over Roy Moore in the Alabama Senate special election last night: 1. Special election results are often over-interpreted as political harbingers, and this particular election would no doubt have turned out much differently if Republicans hadn’t […] Read more »