It’s hard to have a conversation about politics in recent weeks without it quickly turning to President Trump’s nomination of federal Appeals Court Judge Brett Kavanaugh’s nomination to the U.S. Supreme Court. … People ask, “What impact do you think the Kavanaugh nomination will have on the midterm elections?” My […] Read more »
Authoritarian Warning Survey: Ratings worsening on all six dimensions of democratic performance
Our expert survey results in August and September 2018 demonstrate increased threat levels compared to July, with ratings worsening on all six dimensions of democratic performance. This represents a reversal from the improving condition from June to July 2018. Experts rate a 16.5% chance of democratic breakdown in the U.S. […] Read more »
Amid Kavanaugh Confirmation Battle, Democratic Enthusiasm Edge Evaporates
Just over a month away from critical elections across the country, the wide Democratic enthusiasm advantage that has defined the 2018 campaign up to this point has disappeared, according to a new NPR/PBS NewsHour/Marist poll. In July, there was a 10-point gap between the number of Democrats and Republicans saying […] Read more »
Both Parties’ Voters Are Keyed Up for Midterm Elections
Americans’ enthusiasm for voting in November is significantly higher than it was in the prior six midterm election years. Fifty-five percent of U.S. adults say they are “more enthusiastic” about voting than usual, which contrasts with between 37% and 50% saying the same in Gallup’s final pre-election surveys each midterm […] Read more »
After primaries, Democrats have historic vote lead
For months now, enthusiasm among Democratic voters has been a dominant 2018 theme in polls and interviews. Now that the primaries are over, a look at the total primary vote in U.S. House races this year shows that the chatter is more than just talk. Democrats have been turning out […] Read more »
Poll Hub: Election Security
From interference from foreign countries such as Russia to domestic voter fraud and obstacles to the voting process, the latest NPR/Marist Poll gauges Americans’ attitudes about the safety of the U.S. electoral process. On this episode of Poll Hub, NPR’s Brett Neely joins the team to discuss the impetus for […] Read more »