The 2020 election may test as never before one of the most enduring rules of presidential politics, the straightforward four-word maxim coined by Democratic strategist James Carville in 1992: “It’s the economy, stupid.” Even amid record-low unemployment, robust economic growth and a roaring stock market, President Donald Trump has shown […] Read more »
White Women Are Helping States Pass Abortion Restrictions
It’s common for critics of the new wave of state laws severely limiting access to abortion to say the measures are part of a Republican “war on women.” But strong support from most white women, especially those who identify as evangelical Christians, has helped Republicans dominate local government in the […] Read more »
From ‘Total exoneration!’ to ‘Impeach now!’ – the Mueller report and dueling fact perceptions
Can a country move ahead when its citizens hold dueling facts? Shutterstock David C. Barker, American University School of Public Affairs and Morgan Marietta, University of Massachusetts Lowell The Mueller report was supposed to settle, once and for all, the controversy over whether the Trump team colluded with Russians or […] Read more »
How Trump has changed white evangelicals’ views about morality
Recently, Democratic presidential candidate Pete Buttigieg has been criticizing religious conservatives — especially Vice President Pence — for supporting President Trump, despite his lewd behavior. To drive home the point, Buttigieg often refers to Trump as the “porn star president.” We were curious about the attitudes of rank-and-file evangelicals. After […] Read more »
Battleground Poll: Voters Want Change and the Same; Blame Everyone
Our analysis of the political environmental questions in this poll found that most voters are simultaneously frustrated with President Trump and pleased with the work of President Trump and Republican leaders on key pocketbook issues such as the economy and jobs. These questions on civility find a similar contradiction. Most […] Read more »
Harvard IOP Youth Poll: Generational conflict between young voters and Baby Boomers is brewing
Ahead of tonight’s youth-focused CNN Town Hall event co-hosted by the Institute of Politics (IOP) at Harvard Kennedy School, the IOP released new findings from the Harvard IOP Youth Poll. For nearly twenty years, the Harvard Public Opinion Project has provided the most comprehensive look at the political opinions, voting […] Read more »