Super Tuesday is about more than just winning delegates, the complex mix of 14 states in play this week offers a look at how different important voting blocs feel about the Democratic field as the primary calendar picks up momentum. With that in mind, using demographics and economics as a […] Read more »
Guns and the Suburbs
… Not all that long ago, the idea that laws to restrict gun rights would not only pass the Virginia legislature, but would be broadly popular in the Commonwealth, was unthinkable. … The conventional wisdom back in the early part of the 2000s was that a Democrat could only get […] Read more »
In Close Runoff, Democrats Try to Finish Strong in Louisiana
Key Points • In advance of Saturday’s runoff gubernatorial election in Louisiana, the data point to Gov. John Bel Edwards (D-LA) as a small favorite. • We’re moving our rating there from Toss-up to Leans Democratic, but even if Edwards holds on, it may not be by much. • In […] Read more »
Republicans need to study the lessons of 2018 and 2019 before racing to 2020
Whenever there is a special election or an off-year one, you can count on both parties to react in a familiar fashion. They focus on the bright spots and dismiss losses by telling us, “Don’t read too much into it.” Last Tuesday’s elections were a mixed bag for Republicans with […] Read more »
What the latest election results signify for both parties in 2020
In many ways, the election results last week, specifically the races in Virginia, Kentucky, and Pennsylvania, have noteworthy implications for Republicans and Democrats going into 2020. However, both parties must be wary before drawing absolute conclusions from these results. CONT. Douglas E. Schoen, The Hill Read more »
In Virginia, Republicans confront a fearful electoral future
… A GOP candidate hasn’t won statewide office in Virginia since 2009. On Tuesday, Democrats gained majorities in both houses of the General Assembly for the first time in a generation; the House of Delegates swung from a 66-34 Republican edge in 2017 to a 55-45 Democratic advantage for next […] Read more »